دانلود مقاله با موضوع اثرات ماندن در خانه در سراسر ایالت سفارشات مربوط به موارد COVID-19
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موضوع به انگلیسی:Effects of statewide stay-at-home
orders on COVID-19 cases and
deaths in the central USA
بخشی از متن:Abstract
Purpose – This study seeks to determine the effects of stay-at-home orders in Spring 2020 on COVID-19 cases
and deaths in the Central USA by comparing counties and health service areas that were and that were not
subject to statewide orders.
Design/methodology/approach – This study estimates the effects of statewide stay-at-home orders on new
COVID-19 cases and deaths within 19 central states, of which 14 had stay-at-home orders. It uses synthetic
control analysis and nearest neighbor matching to estimate the effects at two geographic levels: counties and
health service areas.
Findings – Statewide stay-at-home orders significantly reduced the number of new COVID-19 cases in the
Central USA starting about three weeks after their effective dates; during the fourth week after their effective
dates, the orders reduced the number of new cases per capita by 31%–57%. Statewide stay-at-home orders did
not reduce the number of new COVID-19 deaths in the Central USA.
Social implications – The main purpose of stay-at-home orders in Spring 2020 was to “flatten the curve” so
that hospitalizations would not exceed capacity. It is likely that stay-at-home orders in the Central USA reduced
hospitalizations to some extent, although the effect on hospitalizations was likely smaller than the effect
on cases.
Originality/value – This is the first study of stay-at-home orders in the USA to limit the population to a group
of interior states. All coastal states had statewide stay-at-home orders and comparing coastal states with orders
to interior states without them may be problematic.
Keywords COVID-19, Coronavirus, Stay-at-home orders, USA
Paper type Research paper
